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Ep. 470 - Preseason Pod 3/4 - Budget Priced Assets

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FML FPL - Fantasy Premier League Podcast


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The podcast "Ep. 470 - Preseason Pod 3/4 - Budget Priced Assets" from FML FPL - Fantasy Premier League Podcast delves into budget-friendly picks for the upcoming Fantasy Premier League season, evaluating potential value and risks of various players, particularly focusing on defenders and keepers, while also discussing tactical approaches and fixture challenges.

Favorite Quote from the Author

I don't remember being this close to game week one and knowing this little

💨 tl;dr

Discussed budget FPL picks: fewer 4.5M nailed goalkeepers, rotating keepers like Henderson and Flyn could work. Aston Villa has good 4.5M defenders, but no keeper. Avoid Bournemouth, Brentford, Wolves, West Ham due to bad fixtures. Brighton, Chelsea, Liverpool, Newcastle have uncertainties. Consider budget mids like Rogers, forwards like DCL if fit. Focus on flexible budget defenders, monitor preseason form, and plan for early wildcard.

💡 Key Ideas

  • Fewer 4.5 million nailed goalkeepers this season; notable options include Flyn, Saw, Arola, and Henderson.
  • Rotating 4.5 million Keepers like Henderson and Flyn could be beneficial.
  • Aston Villa lacks a 4.5 million goalkeeper but has several 4.5 million defenders.
  • Matson and Konsa are highlighted as key players; Villa has favorable fixtures except against Arsenal.
  • General uncertainty about Bournemouth’s starting goalkeeper.
  • There’s a lack of reinforcements in some teams, especially in midfield, impacting early fixtures.
  • Brentford defenders are less appealing due to tough fixtures and injury issues.
  • Wolves and West Ham defenders are generally avoided due to poor fixtures.
  • Brighton’s defenders like Bart and Barco have potential despite some injuries.
  • Chelsea’s defense looks shaky; Reese James is suspended for the first four games.
  • Anderson is highly owned and considered one of the best 4.5 million defenders.
  • Promoted teams generally have poor fixtures, leading to a hard pass on their players.
  • Players like Harwood Bellis and Leaf Davis from promoted teams are considered potential picks.
  • Liverpool’s lineup and defensive strategy remain unclear.
  • Newcastle’s defensive lineup is unsettled, affecting player reliability.
  • Discussion on the benefits of having an eighth attacker due to fixture unpredictability and potential COVID impacts.
  • Rogers is favored as a budget midfielder due to preseason performance.
  • Consideration of budget forwards like DCL and Armstrong; DCL is valuable if fit.
  • ESR is seen as a potential top pick among 5.5 million midfielders.
  • Concerns about player rotation and injury impacts are prevalent.
  • Budget defenders and their rotation are key discussion points, focusing on flexibility and fixture lists.
  • Upcoming podcasts will continue addressing team structures and player picks.

🎓 Lessons Learnt

  • Skip Teams with Bad Fixtures - Avoid players from teams that have tough opening fixtures and no significant reinforcements.
  • Prioritize Nailed 4.5 Goalkeepers - Choose goalkeepers who are guaranteed starters and priced at 4.5 for value.
  • Monitor Player Fitness and Injuries - Avoid injured players and keep track of fitness updates before finalizing picks.
  • Consider Rotating 4.5 Goalkeepers - Rotating two 4.5 goalkeepers based on fixtures can yield better performance.
  • Focus on Home Fixtures for Defenders - Favor defenders with a series of favorable home fixtures for higher clean sheet potential.
  • Be Flexible with Defensive Picks - Bench budget defenders in tough fixtures and play them in easier matches.
  • Avoid Teams with Uncertainty - Skip players from teams with uncertain setups or key departures.
  • Consider Wildcard Timing Early - Plan for a potential early wildcard between gameweeks 4 and 8.
  • Monitor Preseason Performances - Use preseason games to gauge player form and starting lineups.
  • Avoid Unreliable Defenders and Goalkeepers - Do not pick defenders or goalkeepers who aren't guaranteed starters.
  • Budget Defenders with Attacking Potential - Opt for budget defenders who offer attacking returns in addition to clean sheets.
  • Be Cautious with Rotating Players - Rotating players can be risky due to potential injuries affecting point returns.
  • Trust Consistent Players - Go for players who consistently perform well, even if they don't offer spectacular returns.
  • Consider Early Fixture Runs - Prioritize players with good early fixtures since you may wildcard early.
  • Monitor Final Preseason Friendlies - The last preseason game can provide crucial insights into the starting 11 for Gameweek 1.
  • Value Flexibility in Budget Picks - Budget players can be easily swapped if they underperform without disrupting team structure.
  • Analyze Fixture Difficulty - Evaluate how difficult early fixtures are before making picks, especially for newly promoted teams.
  • Consider Penalty Takers - Players who take penalties can offer more consistent returns.
  • Eighth Attacker Strategy - Having an extra reliable attacker can be beneficial for unpredictable situations.
  • Avoid Overreliance on Uncertain Starters - Players who might not start consistently provide less potential for points.
  • Plan and Announce Content Schedule - Clearly communicate the schedule for streams and firesides to keep the audience informed and engaged.

🌚 Conclusion

Skip teams with bad fixtures, prioritize nailed 4.5M keepers, and monitor player fitness. Rotating 4.5M keepers and focusing on home fixtures for defenders can be beneficial. Be flexible with budget picks and consider early wildcard. Watch preseason games for final lineup insights.

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In-Depth

Worried about missing something? This section includes all the Key Ideas and Lessons Learnt from the Podcast Episode. We've ensured nothing is skipped or missed.

All Key Ideas

Podcast Discussion on Budget-Priced Assets

  • The podcast focuses on budget-priced assets, specifically Keepers and Defenders.
  • There are fewer 4.5 million nailed goalkeepers this season compared to previous seasons.
  • Keepers like Flyn, Saw, Arola, and Henderson are considered 100% nailed 4.5 million options.
  • Many goalkeepers have been priced at 5 million or more this season.
  • Injured players are not being considered relevant for selection.
  • Discussion suggests that rotating 4.5 million Keepers, such as Henderson and Flyn, could be beneficial.
  • Aston Villa lacks a 4.5 million goalkeeper but has multiple 4.5 million Defenders.

Football Season Insights

  • Many players aren't back from vacation, and there's limited information and press conferences available
  • Matson appears to be a key attacker for his team
  • The podcasters have a high opinion of Aston Villa going into the season
  • Konsa is considered a solid pick among 4.5 defenders due to his nailed starting position and potential for goals
  • Villa's fixtures, aside from a tough game against Arsenal, are favorable
  • Villa's defensive setup might be stronger with Onana replacing Douglas Luiz, though it could impact their ball control
  • There's uncertainty about Bournemouth's starting goalkeeper between Neto and Travers

Team Analysis and Concerns

  • Lack of reinforcements in the team, particularly in midfield
  • Fixtures are bad for the team at the start of the season
  • Uncertainty over which goalkeeper to pick
  • Defenders are not very attacking despite some promising players
  • Solank's potential move could weaken the squad further
  • General lack of transfer activity across teams
  • The team made some permanent signings but hasn't significantly strengthened
  • Flein is considered a standout goalkeeper pick despite not being the best
  • Positive regression expected due to missing players returning from injury
  • Backup goalkeeper pricing is favorable this year
  • Keeper fixtures are mixed, but there are some good home matches
  • Team's defense is priced at 4.5, making them a budget-friendly option

Discussion Points on Premier League Defenders

  • Discussing the pricing of Brentford defenders and their injury issues
  • Brentford's tough opening fixtures making their defenders less appealing
  • Considering the timing of Wild Cards and how it affects defender picks
  • Wolves' poor fixtures and defensive struggles making them a hard pass
  • Brighton's potential with players like Bart and Barco, despite some injuries

Football Player Analysis

  • There's uncertainty about a player's return from injury, which impacts his current value.
  • Barco is considered a great pick if he remains fit and plays in the next friendly.
  • Dunk is valued for his consistency and potential for scoring, especially with set pieces.
  • Fixture analysis is crucial for deciding when to start players, emphasizing initial favorable fixtures.
  • Rotating players based on fixtures can be risky due to potential fitness issues.
  • Van Hecke is being targeted in Brighton's set pieces during preseason.
  • Importance of defenders taking corners, with a specific mention of Brighton's strategy.

Football Team Updates

  • Lot to like about Brighton this year
  • Chelsea signed Jorgensen, expected to replace Bob
  • Chelsea's center-back situation is uncertain with many options but no clear starters
  • Chelsea's defense looks shaky in preseason
  • Chelsea's fixtures are favorable for clean sheets, except for the first game
  • Reese James is suspended for the first four games
  • Anderson is considered one of the best four-five defenders in the game
  • High ownership of Anderson in teams (23%)
  • Uncertainty about Palace's starting center-backs, especially if Gayi is sold
  • Potential Palace back three: Anderson, Richards, Riad
  • Riad is expected to be a significant player for Palace

Team and Player Analysis

  • Discussion on the necessity of adding a striker to the team and the impact on team depth
  • Mention of budget-friendly defender and goalkeeper options
  • Praise for Palace's affordable and good player picks
  • Evaluation of Everton's player picks, especially their new defender, referencing a defensive strategy under a specific coach
  • Analysis of Everton's fixture difficulty and its impact on player selection

Fulham Squad and Player Analysis

  • The speakers are skeptical about Fulham's squad management and player acquisitions
  • Fulham's loss of key player Paia is seen as significant and detrimental
  • The acquisitions of Emil Smith Rowe and 'Mac Sauce' are viewed as poor choices
  • Concerns are raised about Fulham's defensive capabilities after losing important players
  • Fulham's fullback, Anthony Robinson, is considered a potential pick due to his attacking involvement
  • The fixtures for promoted teams are generally unfavorable, leading to a hard pass on their players
  • Harwood Bellis and Leaf Davis are mentioned as potential picks from promoted teams, with Davis noted for his high attacking returns

Football Analysis

  • Ipswich is expected to have one of the worst defenses in the league.
  • Ipswich players might not get enough assists to offset their defensive weaknesses.
  • Lester and Southampton players like Foss and Harwood Bellis are not ideal starters due to poor fixtures.
  • Liverpool's Quansa and Man City's Rico are potential watchlist players but not recommended for Game Week 1.
  • Kyle Walker's late return and age might lead to more starting opportunities for Rico.

Football Team Analysis

  • Rico's uncertain playtime makes bench boosting risky
  • Quan's passing ability makes him potentially better than Kate for Liverpool's high-possession style
  • Liverpool's preseason inconsistency leaves their starting lineup unclear
  • Leandro's injury and missed signings weaken the team's prospects
  • Newcastle's defensive lineup is unsettled, impacting player reliability
  • Burn's position in the team is uncertain due to potential new signings and alternative players

Football Discussion Points

  • There is uncertainty around certain player starts, such as 'trips' and goalkeepers like 'sells' and 'Miguel.'
  • Newcastle fixtures are favorable, but there's confusion regarding player choices as of early August.
  • Nottingham Forest has setpiece issues and defensive concerns but is actively trying to address them with new signings like Minkovich.
  • Discussion about the viability of budget defenders like Ana Mario and Nico Williams, with mixed opinions on their attacking potential.
  • The podcast hosts are frequently tinkering with their team structures, especially incorporating budget defenders based on fixture lists.

Player Analysis and Concerns

  • Miguel Turner isn't a reliable pick because he's not nailed
  • Concerns over the reliability of the keepers and defenders, especially with potential errors and getting dropped
  • Minkovich is favored for his aggressive playing style
  • Nico is considered a perverted pick due to his attacking potential and the uncertainty of his starting position
  • There's a particular interest in Nico, who might offer some attacking returns and has been consistent when fit
  • General uncertainty about the starting lineup for certain teams, especially with preseason performances being a key indicator
  • Discussion about the value of Vanan as a budget defender for his potential for bonus points and the team's defensive capability when fully fit

Discussion Points on Defenders

  • Discussion on the inconsistency of starting a specific defender based on fixtures
  • Acknowledgment that West Ham's difficult fixtures make their defenders less desirable
  • Mention of the unpredictability of bonus points for defenders this season
  • Debate on the viability of using minimum-priced defenders to allocate more budget to attackers
  • Emphasis on the importance of having a flexible strategy for defender rotation
  • Mention of specific teams like West Ham, Spurs, Man United, Palace, Everton, and Villa in the context of defender rotation
  • Consideration of Villa's defensive performance from last season as uncertain

Football Strategy and Player Analysis

  • Emory's strategy and team changes at Villa, including betting on improvement and clean sheets
  • Risks of doubling up on Villa players if Emory's strategy fails
  • Klopp's intentional defensive sacrifice for offensive gains, potentially similar to Emory's approach
  • Discussion on budget midfielders, specifically Morgan Rogers
  • Rogers' potential as the best pick in the game, based on preseason performance and trust in expert opinions
  • Comparison of Rogers to previous standout players like Ben and Bumo from Brentford
  • Rogers' under-the-radar signing and impressive performances for Villa

Considerations for Selecting Rogers in Fantasy Football

  • Rogers is competing with young players and has had limited playing time due to injury.
  • Rogers is versatile, playing various positions including second striker and winger.
  • At 5 million, Rogers is considered a great pick to start the season with.
  • The uncertainty of Rogers starting every game makes having an eighth attacker beneficial.
  • The benefit of having Rogers as a sub is greater than having players like Winks who offer minimal points.
  • The unpredictability of player availability due to factors like COVID makes an eighth attacker valuable.
  • The difference in potential between mid-priced players (5.5 million vs. 5 million) is minimal, making multiple 5 million options viable.
  • Ownership and performance should be considered over just price when selecting players.

Football Player Insights

  • Rodgers is favored for Game Week 1 over other highly-owned players like Garach, Kudus, Rodri, MGW, and Rice.
  • The speaker hasn't included Rodgers in their team yet but acknowledges him as a good pick.
  • Matson and Bailey have been consistently included in the speaker's team.
  • The speaker finds MTA (Mitoma) to be a standout player from Brighton's preseason, playing every minute.
  • Newcastle sold players like Elliot Anderson and M despite wanting to keep them.
  • Liverpool fans praise Mina, considering him a potential future replacement for Salah.
  • Mina is seen as an impressive player based on his preseason performance and statistics.
  • The combination of Mina and Mitoma poses a significant challenge for opposing defenses.
  • Brighton has a deep roster with many players like March, Enciso, Pedro, and Ferguson, leading to potential rotation issues.

Concerns and Considerations for a Young Player

  • Uncertainty about a player's performance given early fixtures against tough teams
  • Player's potential despite limited experience and physicality
  • Risk of injury and rotation due to the player's young age
  • Debate on the viability of keeping the player for the whole season or as a bench option
  • Lack of strong fixtures in the initial game weeks complicates decisions
  • Player's specific playing style as an inverting winger and lack of competition for his position
  • Concerns about the player's potential price drop if he underperforms initially

Football Player Analysis

  • Rico Lewis is a risky short-term pick at the start of the season but not viable long-term
  • Harvey is showing promise as a number 10 at Liverpool, with impressive stats and potential breakout performance
  • Liverpool's lineup uncertainty due to many players not yet back from break
  • Concerns about Harvey's minutes and role coexisting with similar players like MAA

Discussion Points on Player Roles and Strategies

  • The possibility of a double pivot rotation between Curtis and MAA Soo for the whole season
  • Uncertainty about Gravin Birch's role and whether he'll mix in occasionally
  • Discussion about Harvey's strong performance but uncertainty about his consistent starting role
  • Uncertainty about the rotation strategy of the manager, compared to previous managers like Pep
  • Al longa and Cho as budget options, with Cho being a consistent starter and Al longa having inconsistent appearances
  • Cho's playing style being effective for FPL, cutting in and shooting repeatedly like Mahrez or Robben
  • Debate over choosing goal scorers like Cho and Al longa over midfielder MGW who relies on set pieces
  • Discussion on ESR's potential at Fulham, his talent, and injury concerns

ESR Considerations and Comparisons

  • Fixtures for short-term consideration are favorable
  • Uncertainty over who takes penalties is frustrating
  • ESR is considered underrated due to his past performance
  • ESR could potentially be the top Fulham attacker after game six
  • ESR vs. MAA comparison highlights different potential: MAA has superstar potential, ESR could be an adequate Premier League player
  • ESR's integration into the team could face challenges
  • ESR is preferred over Hogle bomb and Aobi
  • ESR vs. Mina comparison shows potential for more returns for ESR in favorable fixtures
  • ESR's value is debated as both underrated and overrated

Fantasy Football Insights

  • Players in the 5.5 price bracket can be risky due to quick price changes and potential early game blanks
  • Kamada's role and potential impact in the team are uncertain, affecting his fantasy value
  • ESR (Emile Smith Rowe) is considered potentially the best 5.5 pick due to better fixtures and overall value
  • Fulham still having two friendlies left might provide more clarity on their starting 11
  • The scarcity of legit attackers in the 5.5 price range, with only a few viable options
  • Concerns about MTA's (Mykhailo Mudryk) positioning and conservative play style at Brighton, limiting his fantasy impact
  • Mention of other potential value picks like Somerville, SAR, and Amari Hutchinson

Football Team Updates

  • Southampton's midfield is considered weak
  • Leicester lost key player KD
  • Promoted sides have poor fixtures
  • Everton has several new midfielders, including one possibly on set pieces
  • Shota is performing well in preseason for Brentford
  • DCL is seen as a viable pick despite missing chances
  • Mun's unexpected rise in form and potential future performance

Football Player Analysis

  • DCL (Dominic Calvert-Lewin) has a history of good underlying stats but inconsistent scoring.
  • Everton’s fixtures are mixed, making it hard to predict their attacking strategy under Dyche.
  • DCL could be a valuable budget forward if he stays fit given Everton’s lack of other options.
  • Chris Wood had a standout season last year despite being old and slow, but his starting position is uncertain.

Discussion Points on Football Players and Team Strategies

  • Wood's role and effectiveness in attack without penalties are questioned
  • Discussion on Lro's high ownership despite injury concerns
  • Ferg's injury status and zero minutes played
  • Pedro's participation and performance in recent games
  • Debate on whether Pedro is a nailed starter under the current manager
  • Adam Armstrong as a viable eighth attacker in a 352 formation due to being nailed on penalties
  • Consideration of budget forwards like Armstrong and DCL in various team structures
  • The potential value of using a wildcard after initial games to reassess team structure

Discussion Points

  • Mention of Dom potentially being sold and Unal being priced at 5.5
  • Discussion on the lack of necessity to talk about certain players currently
  • Acknowledgment of only one new sign-up and general frustration
  • Mention of upcoming podcasts and the schedule for questions and firesides
  • Host's mention of attending Club Medic Stoper next week

All Lessons Learnt

Fantasy Football Tips for Goalkeepers and Defenders

  • Optimize by Skipping Teams with Bad Fixtures - If a team has bad fixtures and isn't performing well, it's often best to skip them when planning your fantasy lineup.
  • Focus on Nailed 4.5 Goalkeepers - Prioritize goalkeepers who are guaranteed to start and are priced at 4.5, as they offer great value.
  • Consider Injury Status in Player Selection - Avoid selecting players who are injured, even if they are usually nailed starters, because they won't contribute until they're fit.
  • Rotating Goalkeepers Can Be Beneficial - Rotating two 4.5 goalkeepers based on their fixtures can provide better overall performance for your fantasy team.
  • Look for Consistent Home Fixtures - Favor goalkeepers and defenders who have a series of favorable home fixtures, as they are more likely to keep clean sheets in those games.
  • Review Teams Alphabetically for Keeper and Defender Options - Going through teams alphabetically can help ensure you don't miss out on valuable defensive options.

Fantasy Football Tips

  • Monitor Villa players' form and fixtures - With good fixtures and improved form, Villa players like Matson and Consa could be valuable assets.
  • Consider 4.5 defenders for budget options - Villa defenders like Consa are solid picks in the 4.5 bracket due to their nailed spots and potential for goals.
  • Be flexible with defensive picks based on fixtures - Be prepared to bench Villa defenders in tougher fixtures like against Arsenal, but they can be reliable in easier matches.
  • Watch for changes in team setup - Villa's defensive setup might change with new players like Onana replacing Douglas Luiz, which could impact their defensive solidity and ball control.
  • Pay attention to Bournemouth's goalkeeper situation - There's uncertainty between Neto and Travers, so keep an eye on who secures the starting spot before investing.

Fantasy Football Tips

  • Pass on teams with bad fixtures and no reinforcements - If a team hasn’t improved their squad and has a tough opening schedule, it’s better to ignore their players.
  • Consider budget defenders with good fixtures - Keep an eye on cheap defenders like Zabar, who might become valuable when their team’s fixtures improve.
  • Avoid players from teams with potential key departures - Players from teams that might lose star players, like Solanke, should be avoided as it could weaken the squad significantly.
  • Safe picks can offer stability - Opt for players like Flein, who are consistent and offer a solid yet unspectacular return, especially if the team is expected to improve.
  • Backup keepers at 4.0 can be valuable - Having a 4.0 backup keeper allows for a good budget-friendly goalkeeper combo.
  • Injuries impact team performance - Teams with many injured defenders last season, like the one mentioned, might perform better as they recover, hence their players could offer good value.
  • Tough fixtures can still yield points for goalkeepers - Even in tough matches, goalkeepers can score well through saves and occasional clean sheets.

Fantasy Football Defender Tips

  • Avoid Brentford defenders in the first five gameweeks - The opening fixtures are tough, with only one favorable clean sheet opportunity against Southampton.
  • Consider wildcarding between gameweeks 4 and 8 - Given the tough early fixtures for some budget defenders, a wildcard early in the season might be beneficial.
  • Skip Wolves defenders entirely - Their opening fixtures are extremely challenging, and they were a bad defense last season.
  • Monitor Brighton's Veltman - He could become a strong pick once he returns from injury, potentially around the time many managers are using their wildcards.
  • Barco from Brighton is a solid pick at 4.0 - Despite tough fixtures, his attacking potential and nailed status make him a valuable budget defender.

Fantasy Football Tips

  • Monitor player fitness before finalizing picks: Barco's value could change depending on his fitness in the next friendly.
  • Pick consistent players: Dunk is a reliable player who typically doesn't need to be transferred out and has good set-piece potential.
  • Analyze fixtures in chunks: Assess how many games you will start a player in the first part of the season rather than looking at the entire fixture list.
  • Front-load good fixtures: Prioritize players with good early fixtures since you don't know when you'll Wild Card.
  • Be cautious with rotation: Rotating players can be risky if one gets injured, leading to poor point returns.
  • Track preseason reports: Players like Van Heck showing strong preseason form should be monitored for potential value.

Fantasy Football Tips

  • Avoid Chelsea’s defense initially - Chelsea's defense looks messy with uncertain center-back pairings and injuries. Despite good fixtures, it's safer to stay away for now.
  • Consider Anderson as a budget defender - At 4.5 million, Anderson from Palace is a strong pick and highly owned. He's reliable and offers good value.
  • Monitor Palace's defensive setup - Keep an eye on Palace's back line, especially if Gayi is sold. Anderson, Richards, and new signing Riad could be the main three defenders.
  • Be cautious with Chelsea’s Reece James - Reece James is suspended for the first four games, making him unavailable despite being fit.

Fantasy Football Tips

  • Trust in certain budget goalkeepers - Despite past performance issues, goalkeepers like Henderson can be valuable if they end on a high note in recent games.
  • Consider team depth over individual player sales - Sometimes keeping a player, even if not stellar, adds depth and overall quality to the team.
  • Look beyond fixtures for defensive picks - Even if fixtures are mixed, some defenders can be played consistently due to their integral role in the team and potential to clean sheets.
  • Budget defenders can still be good picks - Players like Moleno, even if not highly skilled, can be strong picks due to their guaranteed playtime and potential for clean sheets.

Fantasy Football Tips

  • Avoid investing heavily in Fulham's defense: Despite favorable fixtures, Fulham's defensive lineup seems unstable and unreliable, making their defenders risky picks.
  • Anthony Robinson is a viable option for specific fixtures: Robinson's attacking potential makes him a solid pick for certain game weeks, though his clean sheet prospects are uncertain.
  • Be cautious with newly promoted teams' players: The fixtures for newly promoted teams are challenging initially, making their players less attractive for the opening weeks.
  • Look for budget-friendly players with attacking returns: Players like Leaf Davis, who had high attacking returns last season, can be valuable despite the initial tough fixtures.

FPL Defender Tips

  • Avoid Ipswich defenders for FPL: Ipswich's defense is likely to be one of the worst, making their defenders poor FPL picks regardless of any attacking potential.
  • Be cautious with budget defenders from weak teams: Players like Fosu or Harwood-Bellis might not be worth starting due to their teams' poor fixtures and defensive capabilities.
  • Monitor Liverpool and Man City budget defenders: Players like Quansah (Liverpool) and Rico (Manchester City) might get significant playing time due to injuries or rotation, making them worth watching but not starting in Gameweek 1.
  • Consider early punts on budget defenders for wildcard strategies: If planning an early wildcard, it might be worth taking a punt on players like Rico, who could get unexpected starts and provide value in the short term.

Fantasy Football Tips

  • Don't bench boost with unreliable players: Bench boosting with players like Rico who might not play is a waste and could result in zero points.
  • Monitor Liverpool's starting lineup closely: Liverpool's preseason games are unpredictable, making it crucial to keep an eye on who starts and plays significant minutes.
  • Be cautious with teams in flux: Teams like Man United, who have had significant injuries and incomplete transfers, may not perform as expected early in the season.
  • Reevaluate players based on preseason injuries and transfers: Initial interest in players like Leandro dimmed significantly due to injuries and failed transfers.
  • Consider fixture difficulty and rotation risk: Newcastle's mixed fixtures and potential for new signings make it risky to rely on players like Burn, who might not start consistently.

Fantasy Football Preseason Tips

  • Monitor Player Starts in Preseason: If key players like Trippier are not getting minutes in preseason, be cautious about including them in your initial lineup.
  • Reevaluate Clarity Closer to Season Start: Wait until closer to the start of the season for a clearer picture on player form and team dynamics.
  • Fixture Runs Are Crucial: Consider teams with favorable fixture runs, like Nottingham Forest, which have several good matchups early on.
  • Goalkeeper Selection Issues: Be wary of goalkeepers who are not solid starters or have shown poor performance in set-piece situations, like Forest's situation with Hennessey and Henderson.
  • Set-Piece Vulnerability Can Affect Decisions: Teams weak in set-piece defense may not be reliable for clean sheets, even if they sign players strong in aerial duels.
  • Beware of Hype Without Substance: Just because a player is frequently mentioned (like Neco Williams) doesn't mean they are actually delivering attacking returns.
  • Flexibility and Tinkering Are Key: Continuously adjust your team based on latest insights and be open to changing structures as new information emerges.

Fantasy Football Tips

  • Avoid picking defenders or goalkeepers who aren't nailed - If a player isn't guaranteed to start, it's risky to have them in your team.
  • Miguel and cells are unreliable options - Miguel isn't nailed and has a shaky track record, while cells is prone to making mistakes and being dropped.
  • Consider defenders with attacking potential - Players like Minkovich and Nico, who have an attacking presence, can provide value beyond just clean sheets.
  • Pay attention to preseason line-ups - The last preseason game can give a good indication of the starting 11 for Gameweek 1.
  • Nico can be a valuable budget pick - He has attacking returns and can get subbed off, potentially preserving clean sheet points.
  • West Ham's defense is decent when fully fit - Early in the season, when all players are fit, West Ham’s defense can be a good value pick.

Fantasy Football Defender Tips

  • Be prepared to spend a transfer on a defender if needed: If one of your starting defenders gets hurt, you'll need to act quickly and transfer in a replacement.
  • Rotating budget defenders can be effective: Using a rotation strategy with multiple budget defenders can cover most bad fixtures and save funds for your attack.
  • Start with a core team and build around it: Begin with a few key defenders from teams like Villa or Palace and find others to complement them for specific game weeks.
  • Villa's defensive performance is uncertain: Villa's defense was not strong last season, so be cautious when considering their defenders.

Fantasy Football Tips

  • Don't Overcommit to Defensive Doubles Early: Betting on a team like Villa and doubling up on their defense can be risky. If they don't perform as expected, it could force an early wildcard.
  • Managers Sometimes Prioritize Attack Over Defense: Klopp intentionally sacrificed defensive stability for offensive gain last season. Emory might be doing the same, prioritizing winning games over clean sheets.
  • Trusting Reliable Sources for Player Picks: When an informed source, like Luke, recommends a player like Rogers, it might be worth considering them for your team despite some uncertainties.
  • Use Bench Players Strategically: Players like Rogers can be used as bench boosts or rotated in based on fixtures, even if they're not guaranteed starters every week.
  • Watch Preseason Performances: Preseason games can give insights into players’ potential, like Rogers scoring in most preseason matches, indicating form and confidence.
  • Monitor Transfers for Team Intentions: Moves like Villa getting rid of Diabi could indicate plans to give more minutes to players like Rogers, suggesting they see potential in him.

Fantasy Football Strategy Tips

  • Consider having an eighth attacker: Having an extra attacker can be beneficial for unpredictable situations like COVID absences or injuries.
  • Sub appearances can be more valuable than starts for low-performing players: A substitute appearance from an attacking player like Rogers can be more valuable than a full game from a consistently low-scoring player like Winks.
  • Be flexible with budget options: Flexibility with budget-priced players allows for better team adjustments and can lead to higher overall points.
  • Rotate budget midfielders effectively: Rotating two budget midfielders (e.g., two 5.5 million players) can be more effective than relying on a single budget pick.
  • Ownership isn't everything: A lower-priced player like Rogers might outperform higher-priced ones; don't base decisions solely on price or ownership stats.
  • Extra dice roll advantage: Having multiple budget options increases the chances of at least one performing well each game week.

Fantasy Football Tips

  • Prioritize Rogers for Gameweek 1: Rogers is a solid pick for the first gameweek, potentially better than other highly-owned budget players.
  • Consider Matson and Bailey: These players are consistently appearing in successful team drafts, indicating their viability as budget options.
  • Watch Brighton Preseason Closely: Brighton's preseason performances are crucial due to their squad uncertainties and potential breakout players like MTA.
  • MTA's High Potential: MTA is playing every minute and showing great form, making him a valuable budget option, especially given Newcastle's decision to sell him.
  • Be Cautious with Young Players: Young players like MTA, despite their potential, may not be nailed for the entire season due to squad depth and rotation.
  • Assess Brighton's Fixture Difficulty: Brighton doesn't have a clear fixture advantage until gameweeks 4 or 5, making early-season picks from their team riskier.

Fantasy Football Tips

  • Consider early potential but be cautious of long-term reliability - Exciting, explosive players might not maintain performance over the season due to potential injuries and being young.
  • Analyze fixture difficulty before making picks - Players with tough early fixtures might not be worth the risk, especially if wildcarding early.
  • Monitor competition and rotation risks - New and less established players might face competition and rotation, affecting their game time.
  • Value flexibility in budget picks - Budget players can be swapped easily if they underperform without disrupting the team structure.
  • Look for unique player profiles - Players with specific playing styles or positions that are less common might offer good value.
  • Beware of early price drops - If a budget pick doesn't perform early, they might drop in price, which could affect team value.

Fantasy Football Tips

  • Short-term picks can be risky: Picking players like Rico Lewis might only be viable for the first few game weeks, and relying on them long-term could backfire once other players are back and fit.
  • Wild Card planning is essential: If you're considering short-term picks, make sure you're prepared to use your Wild Card early, ideally by Game Week 3 or 4.
  • Harvey Elliott could be a breakout star: With Liverpool's new formation featuring a number 10, Harvey Elliott is starting every game in this position and looks impressive, making him a potential value pick.
  • Monitor final pre-season friendlies: The final friendly matches will provide crucial insights into starting line-ups, helping to make more informed decisions for Game Week 1.
  • Consider player fit in team strategy: Players like Endo might not fit well into the current tactical setup, so it's important to consider how a player's style meshes with the team's overall strategy and formation.

Fantasy Football Tips

  • Be cautious with rotating players: Players like Curtis and Harvey may cannibalize each other's minutes, leading to inconsistent playing time.
  • Uncertainty in team rotation strategies: It's unclear how some managers will handle squad rotation, impacting player reliability.
  • Consider consistent scorers: Players like Cho might be a good pick despite limitations, as they consistently create scoring opportunities.
  • Value goal scorers over set-piece dependents: Opt for players who score goals over those who rely on set pieces, as they offer more consistent returns.
  • Fixture consideration for initial picks: Players with good early fixtures might be worth considering even if they aren't long-term picks.
  • Health and fitness concerns are crucial: Talented players like ESR may be risky picks due to their injury history.

Fantasy Football Tips

  • Short-term fixtures can be advantageous: You can start a player with good fixtures even if there's a risk of them getting injured later on.
  • Penalty takers are crucial to know: Not knowing who takes penalties can be frustrating and affects decision-making.
  • ESR (Emile Smith Rowe) is underrated: Despite his lack of playtime in recent years, his past performance shows he can be a valuable midfielder who focuses on offense.
  • Consider fixtures when choosing players: Players from teams with easier fixtures are more likely to score higher points in the short term.
  • Evaluate players for the short term, not their entire career: When selecting budget assets, focus on their immediate potential rather than their overall career prospects.
  • ESR could be a surprise top scorer: Given his potential and the fixtures, there's a reasonable possibility that ESR could end up with the most points among Fulham attackers.
  • Language barriers can affect player integration: New signings might struggle initially due to language differences, impacting their immediate performance.
  • Comparison of budget midfielders essential: When choosing between similar-priced players, consider their fixtures, potential for returns, and starting likelihood.
  • Mina vs. ESR for the short term: ESR might offer better returns in the first few fixtures compared to Mina, especially considering the teams they're facing.

Tips for Selecting Budget Players

  • Focus on Early Game Weeks: When selecting budget players, prioritize the first few game weeks (first two or three) because player prices can drop quickly based on early performance.
  • Be Cautious with Uncertain Roles: Avoid players with uncertain positions or roles in the team, as their playing time and contributions can be unpredictable.
  • Consider Fixture Difficulty: Evaluate the difficulty of the upcoming fixtures for budget players, as inconsistent early performance could lead to price drops or transfers out.
  • Monitor Preseason Friendlies: Use the remaining preseason friendlies to get insights into likely starting lineups and player form.
  • Look for Legit Attackers: Focus on budget options who are legitimate attackers, as they are more likely to provide consistent points.

Fantasy Football Player Evaluation Tips

  • Evaluate players based on stats and preseason performance: Players like DCL and Shota should be considered based on their stats and what they've shown in preseason games.
  • Be cautious with newly promoted teams' players: The fixtures for promoted teams aren't favorable, so it's best to watch their games and re-evaluate later.
  • Consider set-piece takers in budget picks: Players like Lindstrom, who may take set-pieces, can offer good value in the 5.5M midfield bracket.
  • Assess player consistency and potential: Evaluate players like MUN based on both their past performance and their potential, but don't overestimate based on a short period of good form.
  • Compare potential picks within the same price bracket: When choosing between players like DCL and MUN in the 6.0M forward bracket, consider their potential for consistent returns and the quality of their team's support.

Fantasy Football Tips

  • Don't heavily rely on Dominic Calvert-Lewin (DCL) - He has a history of inconsistency and injuries, making him an unreliable pick despite occasional good performances.
  • Evaluate fixtures and team dynamics - Consider how team tactics and upcoming fixtures impact player potential. For example, Everton’s mixed fixtures and defensive focus under Sean Dyche make their assets less appealing.
  • Cautious with budget forwards like Chris Wood - Despite past good performances, his age, fitness issues, and team situation (e.g., playing for Nuno) make him a risky pick.
  • Mix expensive and budget players wisely - Balancing between high-cost and budget-friendly players can spread risk and optimize team value, as seen in the speaker’s preference for an expensive front three.

Fantasy Football Strategy Tips

  • Evaluate Player Ownership Trends: High ownership percentages can indicate valuable players, but always consider their recent performance and potential changes in team dynamics.
  • Prioritize Players with Penalty Duties: Players who take penalties, like ft, can be valuable assets due to their higher likelihood of scoring.
  • Account for Manager and System Changes: A player who was previously nailed under one system/manager might not have the same status under a new system/manager.
  • Use Latest Preseason Matches as Indicators: Final preseason matches can provide crucial insights into starting lineups and player form.
  • Flexibility with Team Structure: Utilizing formations like 3-5-2 or 3-4-3 can allow for strategic flexibility, especially when incorporating budget forwards.
  • Eighth Attacker Strategy: Having a reliable eighth attacker like Armstrong, who consistently plays and takes penalties, can be beneficial for auto-subs.
  • Consider Cheap Forwards with Good Fixtures: Budget forwards like Armstrong and DCL with reasonable fixtures can be valuable as placeholders for early season reassessment.
  • Avoid Overreliance on Uncertain Starters: Players who might only play limited minutes can be risky as they provide less potential for points compared to nailed-on starters.

Podcast Management Tips

  • Streamlining Questions for the Final Pod: Push unanswered questions to the last pod and then narrow them down. This helps manage time and ensures all important questions are addressed efficiently.
  • Engage with Your Audience: Encourage listeners to reach out if they'll be in the same location. This builds community and keeps the audience engaged.
  • Plan and Announce Content Schedule: Clearly communicate the schedule for streams and firesides to keep the audience informed and maintain engagement.

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